Shuck and Jive

Saturday, February 26, 2011

Sacramento Flips!

But that is not all!

Indian Nations and Central Nebraska flipped as well! Let's give these three flippers a big award, shall we?

So far eleven presbyteries have voted this week:

Three FLIPPED from no to YES:

  • Sacramento 80-76
  • Central Nebraska 36-16
  • Indian Nations 45-41
Four held on to their previous YES:
  • East Tennessee 71-63
  • Mackinac 44-30
  • Santa Fe 101-17-1
  • Tres Rios 35-32
Four held on to their previous no:
  • Tampa Bay 91-120
  • Northeast Georgia 75-87 (but with big improvement!)
  • South Dakota 32-49
  • Western Colorado 13-29
None switched from YES to no this week!

The unofficial score according to
MLP is 55-38 in favor of Amendment A!

Where are we so far?

  • The big news: twelve flips from no to YES so far.
  • One flipped the other way.
  • But we only need nine net flips to win.
  • We are in good shape with tough votes to come.
  • We have to hold every yes and work to flip some more nos!


  1. This is all great news!
    New projection: 94-yes to 79-no
    The increase from 92 to 94 is because the model didn't project North and South Alabama to flip.

  2. Yes. I like that model better every day!

  3. Where did you get that model, Kattie?

    I am amazed to hear Sacramento flipped, even if the model did predict it.

  4. Sacramento?


    Well done to all the folks who have worked so hard in those presbyteries.

  5. Jodie,
    I wrote the model.
    One of the things I do for a living is Statistical Pattern Recognition.

  6. To round out the day:

    Yukon no 21-28 (much closer!)
    Flint River no 26-54

    Have not heard from
    San Fernando
    Central Washington

    Both likely no.

    Score 55-43 (including San Fernando, Central Washington and Suroeste voting no)

  7. Wow!
    Mrs. Larson deleted an entire blog article where I had commented that we should both pray that the Holy Spirit guide the Commissioners at Sacramento Presbytery. I guess that was easier for her than deleting a comment that suggested we pray together.
    Now it looks like she's complaining that the wicked wouldn't hear.
    I wonder, will the truth ever set her free? We should pray for her.

  8. Kattie,

    It is really hard to show compassion to the righteous. I fail at it almost all the time. Even Jesus found them to be a struggle.

    "But go and learn what this means: ' I DESIRE COMPASSION, AND NOT SACRIFICE,' for I did not come to call the righteous, but sinners."

    He didn't even bother to say "self" righteous. They live in a closed self sufficient universe. You can't get in, and you can't get them out.

    They aren't even called! But they imagine that they are, and imagine that their struggle is the answer to a calling.

    It's realy kinda sad, actually.


  9. Jodie,
    Yep. They'll proof text the Bible whichever way suits their self righteousness. No actual regard to the totality of the witness.

  10. Jodie -

    Ha! So I have some historical backing for not wanting to waste time on the likes of Viola Larsen!

    Thanks for sharing that.